Global agricultural market trends at the beginning of the year

The first official estimates for 2026 indicate a well-supplied global agricultural market, supported by high volumes across the main grain and oilseed categories. This environment continues to place pressure on prices, while also providing greater predictability for commercial planning and informed selling decisions.
Wheat
Global production has been revised upward, while ending stocks are expected to increase, mainly due to solid harvests in Argentina and Russia. International trade is expanding moderately; however, the high availability of supply continues to limit the potential for a rapid recovery in prices.
Corn and feed grains
The market is shaped by significant production volumes, particularly in the United States and China. The increase in global stocks supports the stability of trade flows but reduces the prospects for an accelerated rebound in prices.
Soybeans and oilseeds
Global production is estimated to reach a record level, supported by favorable harvests in Brazil and the United States. Ending stocks are increasing, while market developments will continue to depend on demand dynamics in the processing and bioenergy sectors.
The beginning of 2026 confirms a market environment characterized by abundant supply, pressure on prices, and relevant regional differences. In this context, commercial discipline, the selection of the optimal selling window, and continuous market monitoring become essential for protecting margins and reducing exposure to volatility.
Verum Group continuously monitors developments across international and local agricultural markets, supporting sector partners through relevant market intelligence, transparency, and commercial solutions adapted to the prevailing market environment.